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A Game of Inches

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Photo by Mulad

“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen pounds and six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.”

- Mr. Micawber, from David Copperfield

There is a narrow margin between victory and defeat; between joy and misery; between savings and debt.  Look at any sport.  A one-point difference made the Giants the winners of Super Bowl XXV, while the Bills suffered the first of four Super Bowl losses.  Such a narrow margin.  If Scott Norwood’s kick hadn’t  gone wide right, who knows what would have happened?  The Bills may have started a winning streak instead.

Narrow Margin

Branch Rickey said baseball is a game of inches.  Just look at the ground ball that went through Bill Buckner’s legs in the 1986 World Series, or Derek Jeter’s home run that a fan snagged from Tony Tarasco in the 1996 playoffs.  The same can be said of personal finance.  Spend a little more than you earn, and you’re going to owe someone.  But cut back just a little, and you can stick that savings in the bank.  It’s important to be the one with the extra cash, because you’ll be earning interest, instead of owing it.  Like in baseball, you should start accumulating savings in the early innings, so that you can cruise later on in the game.

Moving the chains

But enough with the baseball metaphors.  Let’s move on to football! In order to get a first down in football, you need to gain ten yards.  This moves the chains, and gets you closer to the end zone, which is the ultimate goal.  Gain a little on each play, and keep moving forward (savings).  Lose yardage due to a sack, and you move backward (debt).  If you gain more than you lose, you should move down the field to the end zone (financial independence).  But the path to financial independence is different from scoring a touchdown, because there’s one element missing in football: Interest.

Interest

Ah, the magic of compound interest.  If you gain 5 yards in football, the referee isn’t going to tack on any extra yards.  That’s the one advantage of savings: someone will pay you for holding your money.  It’s also the big disadvantage of being in debt, as you have to pay someone else to use their money:

Interest [on debt] never sleeps nor sickens nor dies; it never goes to the hospital; it works on Sundays and holidays; it never takes a vacation; it never visits nor travels; it takes no pleasure; it is never laid off work nor discharged from employment; it never works on reduced hours. … Once in debt, interest is your companion every minute of the day and night; you cannot shun it or slip away from it; you cannot dismiss it; it yields neither to entreaties, demands, or orders; and whenever you get in its way or cross its course or fail to meet its demands, it crushes you.
- J. Reuben Clark Jr. in Conference Report, Apr. 1938:103.

So, let’s win this game of inches.  Spend less than you earn.  Keep moving those chains toward the end zone.  Choose happiness over misery.

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Pay Off Debt or Save Money?

[22.365] sphere-itize me, captain
Photo by db*photography

A recent Yahoo! Finance article weighed the benefits of paying off debt versus putting your money into savings.  You can read the original article by clicking on the following link:

Should You Pay Debt Before Saving?

Clearly, there is no one-size-fits-all answer to the question.  The logical approach favors paying off high-interest debt before putting money in savings.  After all, the difference in interest rates makes this approach a no-brainer.  Why tie up money for 1.25% in a savings account when you could pay off a credit card with a 16% interest rate?

Donna Fox, author of the book “From Credit Repair to Credit Millionaire,” says low interest rates on savings accounts make paying off debt first a better choice right now.

“People get into trouble with debt and finance when they start letting emotions vote on their outcome,” says Fox. “So they feel better if they have a cushion in their savings account, even though for most people it’s not the financial savvy thing to do.”

She cites the example of someone who has $10,000 in savings (earning 2 percent) and $10,000 in credit card debt (at a rate of 9 percent). Anyone pleased with this situation is misguided, Fox says.

“This is like investing your $10,000 in an investment you know will lose 7 percent a year … and being happy about it,” she says.

Sure, this makes sense, from a strictly logical approach.  You could look at one extreme, where you’d apply all of your extra money toward your outstanding debt, and put nothing in the bank.  But would you really feel secure having nothing in your savings account, even though you’re paying down your debt at a higher rate?  True, the debt may disappear faster, but you would have the uneasiness of having nothing in your savings.  What would you do when an emergency happens, and you have no emergency fund?

The other extreme has you paying the minimum payment on all of your debts, and dumping the rest into savings.  Although you’d have enough cash to cover emergencies, it would make paying off the debt a lifelong endeavor.  Clearly a compromise can be struck that doesn’t optimize either side, but creates a proper balance.

Having a stash of emergency cash is more important in today’s economic times of tight credit, says Sarah Place, president and CEO of Place Trade Financial, a full-service, discount brokerage firm based in Raleigh, N.C.

She suggests socking away six to 12 months of easily accessible cash to cover any unexpected expenses. Access to such money is especially important today, when many people have found their home equity line of credit has been reduced — or even canceled.

Place acknowledges that it’s difficult to tell people to save “in an environment where they are earning a fraction of a percent of interest on their savings” while being charged “usurious loan shark rates of over 30 percent on their credit cards.”

Only you can determine the proper size of your emergency fund.  The shakiness of your job will be a factor in the number of months of expenses that you can cover.  An interesting piece of advice was given regarding 401(k) contributions:

Michael Rubin, president of Portsmouth, N.H.-based Total Candor, a provider of financial education, advocates paying down debt before saving. However, he cites exceptions to the rule. In particular, he urges a “save first” approach in situations where a person’s employer matches contributions to the company retirement plan.

“The guarantee provided by a matching program is even more valuable than repaying credit card debt, so one should always maximize the match first,” says Rubin, who is author of the book Beyond Paycheck to Paycheck: A Conversation About Income, Wealth, and the Steps in Between.”

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Or, you could follow Dave Ramsey’s Baby Steps, which have helped many people get their finances under control:

  1. $1,000 to start an Emergency Fund
  2. Pay off all debt using the Debt Snowball
  3. Three to six months of expenses in savings
  4. Invest 15 percent of household income into Roth IRAs and pre-tax retirement
  5. College funding for children
  6. Pay off home early
  7. Build wealth and give!  Invest in mutual funds and real estate

The strategy that I used was a balance.  I funded my 401(k) first, and threw the remaining funds at my credit card debt each month.  When that was paid off, I started on the mortgage.  Once that was paid off, I did a little dance of joy, and started saving in earnest.

Find which strategy fits your goals the best, and follow that one.  Don’t be afraid to change it up as you go along.  This isn’t a science, it’s an art.

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Don’t Graduate College During a Recession

An article at WallStreetJournal.com delivers some bad news: college graduates from the Class of 2009 face a tough road in their new careers.  Not only will they be entering the toughest labor market in 25 years, but they will suffer lower wages for a decade or more than those who graduated in better times.  What wasn’t mentioned in the article was the impact to the long-term savings of these new grads.

The article profiles a recent graduate who was forced to resort to tutoring high school students when his job prospects evaporated:

Trading down to a lower-skilled job isn’t just a hit to Mr. Friedson’s ego. It could also hurt his bank account for years to come. Economic research shows that the consequences of graduating in a downturn are long-lasting. They include lower earnings, a slower climb up the occupational ladder and a widening gap between the least- and most-successful grads.

A study found that those graduating during a recession earned 7% to 8% less during the first year, 4% to 5% less by the 12th year, and 2% less by the 18th year.  On top of that, there are ominous signs that unemployment could reach the 10.8% level of the early 1980s, putting a bigger bite into earning power.

This leaves many people being underemployed at the start of their careers, causing the low starting pay.  We all know about the time value of money, so this lack of earning will have a huge impact on the savings rate of new grads.  Coupled with the shakiness of Social Security, this lower income may cause the grads to work more years in order to have sufficient retirement resources.

My son will start college in the fall.  Coming out of school to a bad economy could have a disastrous effect on his future wealth.  Hopefully, when he graduates, the economy will have rebounded, and he won’t face the same challenges the Class of 2009 will have faced.

I was a college grad in the mid-1980s.  Luckily, I found a job in my field.  How about you?  Did you graduate during a recession?  Were you able to find employment in your field, or did you have to take a position where you were underemployed?

Follow this link for the original article: The Curse of the Class of 2009

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