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Regression Analysis

Actual is not normal (a tribute to Edward Tufte)
Photo by kevindooley

No, not that kind of regression analysis, with standard deviations and charts.  I’m talking about why we personally regress back to our bad habits.  Why, after a diet struggle and weight loss, that we gorge ourselves on junk food?  Why, after pinching pennies for months, or even years, do we jump into a financing offer that we couldn’t refuse?  Why do we mindlessly waste our late-night hours surfing the internet, when we could be getting a good night’s sleep, and be ready to attack the new day?  Well, how the hell should I know?  I’ve been guilty of all three scenarios.

There’s just something about that first barbecue of the Spring.  It’s like the pilot has turned off the No Eating and Drinking sign.  When I smell those hot dogs on the grill, the reptile part of my brain takes over, and I attack those bratwurst like a hungry Komodo dragon.  I know that the food is bad for me, especially in the quantities consumed.  The Sam Adams that washes it down will never be mistaken for a whey shake.  There goes the waistline.  WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH ME?

Strolling through Best Buy or PC Richard, I’ll spy the new big-screen, 60″, LCD HDTV.  Holy crap, 0% financing for 12 months!  I’ll take two!  But I know what will happen after the year is up, and the interest rate jumps to 18%.  But that Giants-Redskins game sure is gonna look nice.  Throw in the Blu-ray player, and we have a deal.  Who cares about the kid’s college fund?  Again, WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH ME?

No matter how we try, it’s hard to resist temptation, to differentiate between wants and needs.  Here are the steps that I took:

The Bobby Sands-inspired Diet - For the last month, I’ve followed an eating plan that would make an IRA hunger-striker proud.  I’ve only eaten one meal a day.  This usually takes the form of a peanut butter and jelly sandwich for dinner.  I’ve been taking in around 500 calories a day, if I have an apple for a snack.  It’s not the heathiest diet nutrition-wise, but I’ve dropped 16 pounds in the last 3 1/2 weeks.  It’s a drastic plan, and not for everyone.  Find what works for you.  After I’ve taken off about 20 pounds, I’ll start a sane eating plan.  Like the Metabolic Diet.  And I’ll start exercising again.

Do You Still Take Cash? - I remember when I got my American Express card after I graduated college.  I laid that baby on the table when I went out to dinner with my friends, and felt like a Big Shot.  When the bill came in the next month, I felt like a Big Douchebag.  Another lesson learned the hard way.  To resist temptation, I’ve handed over all of my credit cards to my wife for safekeeping.  I’m a cash-only guy now.  Screw the reward points, I don’t miss the monthly bills.  It gives me great satisfaction knowing that whatever I’ve paid for will be collecting no interest for Citibank to dole out to its CEO.

Lights Out! - Getting up early makes me tired at night, forcing me to hit the hay at a decent hour.  I’m now rarin’ to go when I wake up, ready to start my assault on the world with my tank full.  A reverse vicious cycle.  I really don’t miss browsing through Baseball Reference or IMDB, or Knifeforums or Equipped to Survive, in lieu of sleep.  Another bad habit bites the dust.

I’ve taken the steps to stop the vicious cycle of obesity, debt, and lack of sleep.  I’ve got a long way to go.  I’m sure that many of you do, too.  We’ll always make mistakes, but we can learn from them.  Just try not to make the same mistakes over and over again.

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The Wisdom of Joe McCarthy

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Pitchers and catchers.  Ah, words to warm my winter-chilled heart.  Spring Training has begun, and my mind wistfully recalls the smell of the earth thawing in my backyard.  Can infield practice be far away?

What better time to segué into another baseball-themed post.  Today’s victim is Joe McCarthy, the one-time Yankees manager (not that other prick, the senator who hunted commies).  McCarthy had much success, and like most successful people, he had a list of “isms”.  Many can be applied not only to baseball, but to real life as well:

Nobody ever became a ballplayer by walking after a ball.

Pete Rose was a lousy gambler, but a terrific player, probably because he busted his ass on every play.  You’d never see old Charlie Hustle loaf after a fly ball.  If you don’t have the passion to do something, maybe you’re in the wrong line of work.  Find your bliss.  Then give it your all.

You will never become a .300 hitter unless you take the bat off your shoulder.

You may want to be successful, but you have to put yourself in a position to be successful.  That means preparation and execution.  Do you have the training to be the best in your field?  Good.  But reading books is just part of the equation.  You need to hone your craft by practicing it.

An outfielder who throws in back of a runner is locking the barn after the horse is stolen.

I hate to mention that overused word, but even McCarthy back in the day knew that you had to be proactive rather than reactive.  Get your head out of your ass, and anticipate what’s coming.

Keep your head up and you may not have to keep it down.

To me, this talks about being a good person.  Your character can be ruined in minutes.  When you’re at work, leave the booze, drugs, and gossip at home.

When you start to slide, SLIDE. He who changes his mind may have to change a good leg for a bad one.

Indecision.  People, fearing that they’ll make the wrong choice, make no choice at all.  The problem with this line of thinking is that your future is decided for you.  I like to be in control of my destiny.  It’s part of my shit-or-get-off-the-pot philosophy.  Once I decide on a well-thought out strategy, I follow it through to the end.

Do not alibi on bad hops. Anyone can field the good ones.

Everyone makes mistakes.  That’s how we grow as people.  But learn from your mistakes, so that when the same situation arises, you don’t make the same mistake twice.  A bad hop is a challenge.  Rise to the challenge.

Always run them out. You never can tell.

When the situation looks hopeless, it usually is.  Usually doesn’t mean 100% of the time.  I don’t believe in fate.  If I can find one small glimmer of hope, then I’m going for it.

Do not quit.

Quitting is the act of stopping work, of refusing to move forward.  I’m no quitter, which has pissed a lot of people off who expected me to follow the rest of the flock.  My cousin, a recovering alcoholic, had a drawing of a frog being eaten by a stork, or crane, or some other fucking long-necked bird.  The frog, in the process of being swallowed, starts strangling the bird.  The caption reads, “Don’t Quit”.  Don’t worry, cuz, I won’t.  Ever.

Try not to find too much fault with the umpires. You cannot expect them to be as perfect as you are.

People who blame others for their misfortunes have a victim’s mentality.  I’m no victim, so I don’t bitch.  Not too much, anyway.  Take responsibility.  Tough shit.  Life is unfair for everybody.

A pitcher who hasn’t control hasn’t anything.

You can have all of the advantages in life, like good looks, wealth, health, and smarts.  If you can’t control yourself, whether by spending more than you earn, or drinking in excess, then you’re wasting your gifts.  Partying hard is for college.  Get your shit together and be an adult.

Ah, smell that dirt…

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Raking Leaves and Debt Reduction

My son was in debt to me for a video game that he wanted.  Not just any video game; the new edition of Call of Duty: Black Ops.  I could have let him off the hook, but I wanted to teach him a lesson.  Never say that I’m not practical.

His vehicle for working off his debt would be a yard cleanup.  There were plenty of leaves covering the lawn, and I would have had my work cut out for me if I did it myself.  So with his big brother slaving away at a college paper, I enlisted the services of my debtor, my youngest son, Muscles Marinara (He’s earned that moniker from his Pauly D-inspired haircut, his new-found passion for lifting weights, and the fact that he’s half-Italian).

He was astonished that he’d have to clean up the leaves by hand.  Our shed was devoid of any power equipment for the task.  It was good old-fashioned rakes and lawn bags.  Muscles was stunned.  If we didn’t have a power type of leaf blower, then surely we must own at least this kind:

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I don’t even have one of those pop-up barrels to make life easier:

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No matter.  We commenced with the raking, taking turns holding open the cheap, one-ply, town-provided leaf bags that tear open if you even happen to glance at them sideways.  After several bagfulls, he was looking longingly at the Lawn Freak on his super tractor, maybe wishing he would adopt him and save him from this madness.

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Instead, he had to listen to me drone on in metaphors.  The conversation went something like this:

Me: Let’s get cracking.  Think of each leaf that you put in the bag as a smidgen of your debt getting erased.  Eventually, the lawn will be clean, and your debt paid off.

Muscles Marinara: Eventually?  Dude, this sucks!  Don’t we have a leaf blower or something?

Me: Nope.  Less complaining, more raking.

Muscles: I’m just sayin’, bro.  It would go much faster if we had a leaf blower.

Me: It would go a lot faster if you’d stop talking.

Muscles: Even the jerk (aka The Lawn Freak; jerk is a pet name for him) across the street doesn’t use a rake.

Me: He also doesn’t have a teenage son who’s working off a debt.  Next time, save up for that video game.

Muscles: Dude, it was the new Call of Duty, and it’s too cold to wash cars (his primary source of income).  Ima get a bottle of water, yo’.

Me: Hey! (Restraining myself from telling him again that his grandparents spoke better English when they got of the boat) Don’t be long.

While he was inside the house, I managed to fill a few more bags by myself.  He returned from his break, and we gradually polished off the entire yard.

Me: See? It’s like eating an elephant - one bite at a time.

Muscles: Dude, that was weak.  I hate raking leaves!

Me: Maybe you’ll question your “need” to buy things when you don’t have the cash.  See how long it took to pay off that video game?

Muscles: I guess.  The next time I want something, I’ll wait for Christmas, yo’.

Me: Good idea.  It was nice having you on the books - bro!

I just hope the lesson wasn’t lost on him.  He’s a pretty bright kid, the pseudo-ghetto-talk notwithstanding.  I hope that, many years from now, when he’s tempted to blow for an expensive trinket, he hearkens back to the day when he had to work hard and long to pay off his debt.

As he would say, that would be beast, yo’.

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Surprises

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As I finished power-washing a couple of weekends ago, I was surprised to discover a lonely Bass Ale, sitting at the back of the fridge.  There is a God!  I was done with work for the day, and this brewski would be a nice way to wind down.  As I poured half the bottle down my throat, I noticed a small colony of ants, busy doing whatever ants do.  I remembered the fable about the ant and the grasshopper, and began to regret my hasty decision.  Shouldn’t I try to make the best of my lucky find?

How often do you find yourself in a similar situation?  Maybe it’s not a beer that you discover; maybe it’s an extra $20 stashed in your pants pocket as you do the laundry.  Maybe the electric bill is a little light this month.  Or maybe, your federal income tax refund arrives.  Yahtzee!  Your first reaction might be to take this new-found dough and blow it.  But here’s where discipline comes in to play.

As I’ve mentioned before, I’m kind of anal when it comes to forecasting my budget.  I usually have a two-year spending plan laid out at any time, and keep tweaking it as I come upon new information (like my son saying he’d like to go away to college instead of staying home).  I even budget for when my cesspool needs pumping, and that’s every three years.  Needless to say, I don’t let much slip past my beady little eyes.

So, any windfalls are usually rolled into our savings account.  It’s the ant-and-grasshopper thing.  Why blow the extra cash on a cheap thrill, when I might need it down the road?  I work in the defense industry, where layoffs are always just around the corner.  To someone in my field, a layoff is like the cruel, hard winter in the fable.  You can party now and starve later, or make it through to Spring on your savings.

The other option would be to take the loot and pay down some debt with it.  It’s a win-win.  So the next time you find a lonely brew in your fridge, think twice before you chug it down.  Make sure you get some Doritos to go with it.

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8 Ways You Overspend

This recent article on Yahoo! Finance listed the 8 instances where we inadvertently pay more than we intended.  I’ve fallen victim to at least a couple of them, and I’m sure everyone has.  Which ones have taken you in?  Let’s take a look at the list, compiled by Jodi Helmer:

1. Paying with plastic - Yup, did that a few times.  I find that the physical act of counting out the bills makes the purchase seem more “real” to me.  Swiping a credit card sort of insulates you from what you’re about to binge on.  If you’re on a budget, leave the plastic at home!

2. Listening to music - I guess that’s why department stores play that crappy elevator music - not just to assault our ears, but also our wallets.  I counteract this tactic by bringing my own music on my iPod.  Somehow, Rush and Zeppelin inoculate me from impulse buying.

3. Buying in bulk - I know I don’t need a 5 gallon jar of pickles, but look at that low price!  It may seem counter intuitive, but I don’t shop at Sam’s Club or Costco.  I always wound up buying more crap that I didn’t really need.  We once bought, oh, about a gross of Hot Pockets when my son was on that kick.  We just threw out the remaining expired portion.  Buying in bulk can be a money trap.

4. Dieting - I have a lot of experience in this area.  If you can’t indulge your food cravings, why not splurge on something else that makes you happy?  The way I handled this one was to look forward to buying just a couple new items of clothing after I shrunk my fat ass down to a normal level.  I get some satisfaction without blowing my budget.

5. Tracking exact costs - When we go food shopping, I have an Excel sheet that we fill out beforehand.  It has a lookup table with my best guess on the latest prices, and populates the shopping list with an estimated total.  Factor in a plus or minus 5 percent, and we’re good to go.  No underestimating.

6. Buying clearance merchandise - I won’t buy something that I don’t need just because it’s on sale.  See my reason above for avoiding bulk purchases.  This does take discipline to say no.

7. Shopping without a list - We have a rule in our house - if it’s not on the list, it doesn’t go in the cart.  Case closed.  There are few absolutes in life; this is one that we adhere to.

8. Falling for clever pricing tactics - Salesman use anchoring all the time.  After showing you the expensive model, they’ll show you a cheaper version, which is a bargain in comparison.  A bargain, until you realize it’s still way over your budget.  Stick to your guns.  And don’t fall for any high-pressure tactics, either.  Do what I do - just walk out.

Did the article miss anything?


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Which Takes Priority for You - Mortgage or Credit Card Bill?

Question mark
Photo by Marco Bellucci

I read an article on CNNMoney that exposed a new trend among the debt-ridden: paying their credit card bill before their mortgage.  You can read the original article by clicking the link:

Consumers paying credit card over mortgage

According to recent data, 6.6% of people are delinquent on their mortgage payments, but current on their credit cards.  Only 3.6% were current on their mortgage and behind on their credit cards.  Apparently it’s easier to walk away from a home with a declining equity stake than it is to fall behind on your favorite payment tool.

Mr. Bubble

The housing bubble is to blame for this turnabout.  California and Florida have been the hardest hit, and the trend is even more pronounced in these states.  In the Land of Arnold, 10.2% were late on their mortgages but current on the plastic, while only 2.7% were on the flipside.  The Sunshine State had 12.4% behind on their house payment, with 3.9% in the reverse situation.

Avalanche of Debt

Maybe they’re using a half-assed version of the Dave Ramsey Debt Snowball method - paying off the smallest debt first.  But I think they were supposed to at least make the minimum payment - which, in the case of a mortgage, is probably their largest payment.  These people need to find a balance when it comes to debt repayment.  If you’re in arrears on your mortgage payment, and relying on credit cards to pay your daily expenses, you’re probably just one straw away from breaking the camel’s back, so to speak.

I feel for these people.  Thank God I’m not in the same situation, as I paid off my mortgage years ago.  What do you think?  Would you choose to pay your credit card bill before paying your mortgage?  What’s Plan B when the bank forecloses on your house?

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Pay Cash or Put it on the Plastic?

Credit Cards
Photo by Andres Rueda

Whew!  Now that Christmas is over, so is Christmas spending.  Unlike most personal finance bloggers, we don’t stick to a strict budget.  We try to estimate our gift expenses based on the prior year, and factor it up by the amount of people we have to buy for.  Our relatives and close friends receive the lion’s share of our gifts, and then there’s coworkers, the mailman, the garbage men, etc.

Do you take Diners Club?

Obviously, we don’t tip the garbage men with a credit card.  But almost anywhere else that we’re able to, we use the plastic.  I know, this is borderline heresy.  What about my pro forma budget spreadsheet, and my careful projections of future expenses?  Well, I’ve found that when the holidays roll around, emotion takes over, and all logic goes out the window.  So, I’ve stopped trying to fight it.  And that’s where the plastic comes in.

Extra points

Like many of you, I use a rewards credit card.  I pay for groceries, gas, and even my cellphone bill with my rewards card.  I’m very diligent about paying off the balance each month, so that I don’t incur any interest charges.  The extra activity allows me to earn more rewards points, which I can trade in for merchandise or gift cards.  It’s a win-win for me, because I don’t carry a balance.

Heresy!

I’m sure Dave Ramsey would throw up if he read this.  I’ve been in debt in the past, and have abused credit cards, so this might seem like giving the keys to the methadone clinic to a drug addict.  But I’m more disciplined now, and don’t see credit cards as instruments of evil.  So, as long as I pay off my balance in January, if I go a little over my Christmas gift budget estimate, I’m not going to obsess about it and ruin my holiday.  Consider it my slush fund.

How about you guys?  Anybody else out there that throws the budget out the window at Christmastime?  I know that I can’t be alone.  The crowded stores are a dead giveaway.

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10 Jobs that Require No Bachelors Degree

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Attention high school grads: You don’t have to rack up a mountain of student loan debt in order to secure a good career.  And you don’t have to go to the School of Hard Knocks, either.  A recent Yahoo! Hot Jobs article listed ten jobs that require no bachelor’s degree, meaning you’ll keep your education borrowing to a minimum.

Source: Yahoo! Hot Jobs: Good Pay Without a  4-Year Degree

Here’s the list, with the median annual pay for someone with 3-5 years’ experience, plus my two cents worth:

Network installers, network administrators, computer systems administrators - $49,801

This involves computers and wireless networks.  Looks like a pretty broad description, as I see these as separate jobs.  I know that our network administrators don’t get their hands dirty by pulling cable and lifting ceiling tiles.  I wonder what the breakdown is between the different categories.

Police officer - $47,485

Some departments take people right out of high school.  A clean record would help speed the acceptance process along.  You probably have to pass a standardized test, also.  A nice pension and benefits, but the risk of getting shot would move this one down the list for me.

Court reporter - $47,275

As the article says, job security.  We live in a litigious society.  Is this a fancy name for the stenographer who types every spoken word?  I know there must be plenty of downtime due to frequent court recesses, not to mention long lunch hours.

Clinical laboratory technologist - $47,081

I love all of the CSI-type TV shows, but I wouldn’t want to be picking through someone else’s dead flesh and guts.  Dressing a deer is one thing, but I don’t think that I’d be comfortable handling human tissue samples.

Heating-ventilation-air conditioning (HVAC) installer - $44,814

I know someone who does this for a living.  Crawling around in attics during the summer doesn’t sound appealing.  I sweat.  Alot.  I’d lose enough weight to look like a normal person.  I’d probably be healthier, too.

Computer numerical control - $44,629

This one’s good if you like working with robots in a manufacturing environment.  I was always amazed by the CAD/CAM workstations at one of my previous jobs, but the noise was deafening.  I’ll stick to the office side of manufacturing.

Solar energy systems installer - $44,460

This is a potential boom industry.  My company has increased their investment in energy-saving equipment, and the federal stimulus bill has created a demand for these jobs.

Correctional officer - $42,795

I worked with an engineer several years ago who had taken the county corrections officer’s civil service test while he had been between jobs.  He was called a few years after taking the test, and wound up accepting the position and going through the academy.  His name appeared on the cover of the local paper as one of the top overtime earners in the county.  He made close to $100 thousand in overtime in one year!

Security and fire-alarm systems installers - $41,417

As the price of security systems drops, the demand goes up, requiring more installers.  Training can be done in two weeks for about $1,000.  That’s a quick turnaround time, and allows you to start earning money right away.

Aircraft mechanic - $39,584

This job has better pay than an auto mechanic, and an unending demand for air travel will provide a steady growth in this field.  I wonder if they fly for free?

Can you think of any other jobs that weren’t listed in the article that meet this criteria?

Don’t follow the crowd, join the horde!  Subscribe today, either by email or RSS: Subscribe

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Credit Card Interest: The Terminator

graz - graffiti :: hasta la vista
Photo by southtyrolean

“Listen, and understand. That terminator is out there. It can’t be bargained with. It can’t be reasoned with. It doesn’t feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And it absolutely will not stop, ever, until you are dead.”
- Kyle Reese, from The Terminator

Just replace “terminator” with “interest” and we can apply Kyle Reese’s statement to credit card debt.  I guess Reese never owned a credit card.  Good for him.  All he had to worry about were Terminators.  He had it easy.  For those of you saddled with credit card debt, I sympathize.  I once walked among you.  But I escaped from the nightmare world of never-sleeping interest, and so can you.

The Citi never sleeps

There used to be a commercial in the 1970’s, where the tagline was “the Citi never sleeps.” It was a commercial for Citibank, a subsidiary of Citigroup, who I’m sure you’re familiar with if you carry credit cards.  The slogan sounds quite insidious, don’t you think?  They should change the slogan to “the accumulating interest never sleeps”, but while it’s more accurate, it’s much less catchy.  An even better slogan would be “the debtor loses sleep”, because that’s what happened to me when I carried credit card debt.  I’m sure my story is similar to many of you out there.

It started with the house

After buying our first house, my wife and I got caught in a cycle of growing credit card debt.  We used as much of our savings as possible for a down payment.  While this lowered the amount we borrowed on our mortgage, it left us with little cushion for any unexpected expenses.  Those of you who have older houses know all about those.  Between home improvements and car repairs, we racked up quite a bit of credit card debt in a short period of time.  The Terminator went to work while we slept.

A few miserable years

After taking stock of what we owed, we proceeded to develop a debt repayment plan.  We took a hard look at our monthly expenses, and made the necessary cuts to lower our spending.  Then we did a calculation of how long it would take to pay off all of our credit cards.  After our jaws hit the floor, we recalculated, and came up with the same result.  With the cuts to our entertainment budget, we were in for a few trying years.  It was our first strike back at the Terminator.

Things start to look up

First, we stopped using credit cards, cold turkey.  We threw every extra dollar that was left over at our debt.  Every raise was sent to Citigroup, or MasterCard, or Sears.  Any windfall that came our way went to knocking down the principal.  We were using a debt snowball before I ever heard of Dave Ramsey.  Finally, after years of poor raises, I scored a job that offered a significant jump in salary, and we started to make some headway into our debt repayment.  The Terminator was on the ropes!

On a roll

We stuck to our plan, and eliminated our credit card debt.  We took the extra cash flow and started to chip away at our mortgage.  After several years of additional sacrifice, we were mortgage-free.  Let me tell you, it’s nice to have a positive cash flow.  SkyNet had been defeated!

Now that I’m older and wiser, here’s some advice to prevent you from going into debt:

Wait to buy your first house - renting isn’t “throwing money away”, as many will have you believe.  We could have stuck it out in our apartment for a couple more years, and saved more money in the meantime.

Start an emergency fund before you buy a house - trust me, as soon as you put the key in the door, something will require fixing.  Plan ahead.  Don’t put your repairs on your credit card.

Set up a budget before you get your mortgage - set your own limits now, before you get too accustomed to just winging it.

Don’t put down every cent that you have - while it’s nice to have a smaller mortgage, don’t hamstring yourself by leaving no liquid cash.  Keep something on the side.

Pay cash - at least until you’re sure that you have the discipline to pay off your credit card balance every month.

But, if you’ve already got the Terminator on your back, here’s what worked for me.  I warn you, this will be painful:

Stop using the credit cards - I know, duh, so obvious.  But you’d be surprised how easy it is to use the cards “just one more time.”  Stick them in the freezer if you have to.  I told you this would be painful.

Make a budget - it doesn’t have to be an elaborate one, either.  Find a format that works for you, and get cracking.  You can find mine in this post. You’ll be surprised where all of your money goes.  Ignorance is not bliss when it comes to personal finance.

Start an emergency fund - start putting some money away.  How much is up to you.  I’d recommend doing an analysis of any potential short-term risks, such as car repairs, home repairs, or medical expenses, and save accordingly.

Use the debt snowball - this is the Dave Ramsey method.  From your budget, you’ll be able to determine how much you can throw at your debt each month.  This is your monthly debt allotment.  Pay the minimum on all of you cards except the one with the smallest balance.  Add up the total of these minimum payments.  Then, subtract that number from your monthly debt allotment, to determine the amount to be paid to the smallest card’s balance.  Pay this amount on the smallest-balance card.  This strategy ensures that you’ll be paying off more principal, and help you eliminate one debt at a time.  It keeps the momentum going, and gives you a short-term goal to shoot for.

Or, use another method - some argue that Dave Ramsey’s method doesn’t take into account the difference in interest rates.  I’m one of them.  I prefer to pay the minimum on all of the cards except the one with the highest interest rate.  Then, pay the remainder against this card’s balance.  You’ll be knocking down the balance on the card with the highest debt.  It may delay your gratification of paying off a card, but will lower your interest payments in the long run.

Throw any “found money” at your debt - if you get a raise, don’t grow your lifestyle, put it toward your debt instead.

Don’t neglect your investments - continue to invest in your company’s 401(k) plan.  Contribute enough to get matching contributions from your employer.  When your debt is paid off, you can shoot for fully-funding your 401(k).

Pay off your mortgage - I know that right now, this appears to be a far-off pipedream.  But if you stick to the plan, you’ll be able to pay off your mortgage eventually, and say Hasta la vista to the Terminator.

For those of you interested in Dave Ramsey’s method, click on the picture for his book:

daveramsey51ahby27b9l_sl160_

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A Game of Inches

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Photo by Mulad

“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen pounds and six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.”

- Mr. Micawber, from David Copperfield

There is a narrow margin between victory and defeat; between joy and misery; between savings and debt.  Look at any sport.  A one-point difference made the Giants the winners of Super Bowl XXV, while the Bills suffered the first of four Super Bowl losses.  Such a narrow margin.  If Scott Norwood’s kick hadn’t  gone wide right, who knows what would have happened?  The Bills may have started a winning streak instead.

Narrow Margin

Branch Rickey said baseball is a game of inches.  Just look at the ground ball that went through Bill Buckner’s legs in the 1986 World Series, or Derek Jeter’s home run that a fan snagged from Tony Tarasco in the 1996 playoffs.  The same can be said of personal finance.  Spend a little more than you earn, and you’re going to owe someone.  But cut back just a little, and you can stick that savings in the bank.  It’s important to be the one with the extra cash, because you’ll be earning interest, instead of owing it.  Like in baseball, you should start accumulating savings in the early innings, so that you can cruise later on in the game.

Moving the chains

But enough with the baseball metaphors.  Let’s move on to football! In order to get a first down in football, you need to gain ten yards.  This moves the chains, and gets you closer to the end zone, which is the ultimate goal.  Gain a little on each play, and keep moving forward (savings).  Lose yardage due to a sack, and you move backward (debt).  If you gain more than you lose, you should move down the field to the end zone (financial independence).  But the path to financial independence is different from scoring a touchdown, because there’s one element missing in football: Interest.

Interest

Ah, the magic of compound interest.  If you gain 5 yards in football, the referee isn’t going to tack on any extra yards.  That’s the one advantage of savings: someone will pay you for holding your money.  It’s also the big disadvantage of being in debt, as you have to pay someone else to use their money:

Interest [on debt] never sleeps nor sickens nor dies; it never goes to the hospital; it works on Sundays and holidays; it never takes a vacation; it never visits nor travels; it takes no pleasure; it is never laid off work nor discharged from employment; it never works on reduced hours. … Once in debt, interest is your companion every minute of the day and night; you cannot shun it or slip away from it; you cannot dismiss it; it yields neither to entreaties, demands, or orders; and whenever you get in its way or cross its course or fail to meet its demands, it crushes you.
- J. Reuben Clark Jr. in Conference Report, Apr. 1938:103.

So, let’s win this game of inches.  Spend less than you earn.  Keep moving those chains toward the end zone.  Choose happiness over misery.

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